Sunday, October 7, 2018

                               WATTS' BOMBSHELL GAME



BOMBSHELL: audit of global warming data finds it riddled with errors


Just ahead of a new report from the IPCC, dubbed SR#15 about to be released today, we have this bombshell- a detailed audit shows the surface temperature data is unfit for purpose. The first ever audit of the world’s most important temperature data set (HadCRUT4) has found it to be so riddled with errors and “freakishly improbable data”  that it is effectively useless.

...according to an analysis by Australian researcher John McLean it’s far too sloppy to be taken seriously even by climate scientists, let alone a body as influential as the IPCC or by the governments of the world.

Main points:

  • The Hadley data is one of the most cited, most important databases for climate modeling, and thus for policies involving billions of dollars.
  • McLean found freakishly improbable data, and systematic adjustment errors , large gaps where there is no data, location errors, Fahrenheit temperatures reported as Celsius, and spelling errors.
  • Almost no quality control checks have been done: outliers that are obvious mistakes have not been corrected – one town in Columbia spent three months in 1978 at an average daily temperature of over 80 degrees C.  One town in Romania stepped out from summer in 1953 straight into a month of Spring at minus 46°C. These are supposedly “average” temperatures for a full month at a time. St Kitts, a Caribbean island, was recorded at 0°C for a whole month, and twice!
  • Temperatures for the entire Southern Hemisphere in 1850 and for the next three years are calculated from just one site in Indonesia and some random ships.
  • Sea surface temperatures represent 70% of the Earth’s surface, but some measurements come from ships which are logged at locations 100km inland. Others are in harbors which are hardly representative of the open ocean.
  • When a thermometer is relocated to a new site, the adjustment assumes that the old site was always built up and “heated” by concrete and buildings. In reality, the artificial warming probably crept in slowly. By correcting for buildings that likely didn’t exist in 1880, old records are artificially cooled. Adjustments for a few site changes can create a whole century of artificial warming trends.

Meanwhile, back at Skeptical Science : 

Favourite climate myths by John McLean

Climate Misinformation by Source: John McLean

QuotesArticlesArgumentsBlogsLinksSearch

Below are many of the climate myths used by John McLean plus how often each myth has been used.
Climate myths by McLeanWhat the Science SaysUsage
"Models are unreliable"
1
"Sea level rise is exaggerated"A variety of different measurements find steadily rising sea levels over the past century.1
"Extreme weather isn't caused by global warming"Extreme weather events are being made more frequent and worse by global warming.1
"Sea level rise is decelerating"
1
"Tuvalu sea level isn't rising"Tuvalu sea level is rising 3 times larger than the global average.1
"There's no correlation between CO2 and temperature"There is long-term correlation between CO2 and global temperature; other effects are short-term.1
"Peer review process was corrupted"An Independent Review concluded that CRU's actions were normal and didn't threaten the integrity of peer review.1
"It's El Niño"El Nino has no trend and so is not responsible for the trend of global warming.1