Monday, June 17, 2024
Sunday, June 16, 2024
TOO CHEAP TO METER
Surging Renewables Push
French Energy Prices Negative
Shutting Down Nuclear Plants

French energy prices recently plunged into negative territory, reaching a four-year low of -€5.76 per megawatt-hour in an Epex Spot auction, Bloomberg reported. This unusual occurrence was driven by an excess of renewable energy production combined with reduced demand, particularly over the weekend. The surplus in renewable power led to some French nuclear plants going offline.
Renewable Energy Surge and Market Impact
The drop in day-ahead energy prices underscores the profound impact that renewable energy, particularly wind and solar power, is having on the European energy market. As renewable energy production surged, especially during periods of low demand, it created an oversupply that forced prices down. This imbalance pressured Electricité de France (EDF), the state-owned utility company, to temporarily shut down several nuclear reactors to avoid generating excess power that could not be sold profitably. Initially, three nuclear plants were halted, with plans to take three more offline.
A Pan-European Issue
This phenomenon is not isolated to France. Other European countries, including Spain and those in the Scandinavian region, also experience similar shutdowns of nuclear reactors due to excess renewable energy generation. The continent’s push to decarbonize energy grids has accelerated the deployment of renewable infrastructure. However, the lack of adequate battery technology and investment to store surplus energy has created pricing inefficiencies, leading to occurrences of negative prices.
Friday, June 14, 2024
THE REAL TRICK IS LEARNING TO RESPOND CANDIDLY
Given the seriousness of this issue, and that the criticism seems to be getting quite a lot of traction, I thought it important to read the original paper that presents a perspective on the next generation of Earth system model scenarios. As far as I can see, it is not assigning the highest priority to the most extreme scenarios. If also seems to have considered most of the criticisms of scenarios, discusses the different uses for scenarios, including high-end pathways, and highlights that it would be beneficial to separate high forcing pathways for scientific purposes from the more policy-oriented framing pathway categories.
So, once again, it seems that the criticism is - at best - wildly exaggerated, or - at worst - completely misrepresents what's being done. Of course, the latter would probably not surprise some people. It's always been pretty clear that much of the criticism of RCP8.5 was motivated more by a desire to find something to criticise, than by any desire to be constructive. The same seems to be the case here. To be fair, if you're a bad faith actor motivated by a desire to simply find something to criticise, it must be tricky to know how to respond if those you're criticising actually take your initial criticisms seriously.
Wednesday, June 12, 2024
WATERFRONT PROPERTY ON THE ROAD TO HELL
UN Secretary Guterres may see the future as a highway to climate hell, but some spy opportunity. All it would take for a property boom to bring peace to the Middle East is a sea level rise of Biblical proportions.
Ex White House Office of American Innovation Czar Jared Kushner has gained notoriety by proposing to turn the bombed-out Gaza Strip shoreline into high rise beachfront condos. But why stop at strip architecture? Carving a notch in the foothills of Mount Carmel could set the stage for a flood fit to re-arrange the whole Levantine shore in less time than it takes to get to Net Zero.
Kushner could use his Emirates bankroll to melt a lot of Greenland ice with a few well-placed arctic soot palls, and raise sea level enough to give the Holy Land a new peninsular look:
Sunday, June 9, 2024
Wednesday, June 5, 2024
Sunday, June 2, 2024
YOU HAVE TO BREAK EGGS TO MAKE A CICADA OMLETE
A ONCE IN 17 YEAR OPPORTUNITY
TO TAKE A BITE OUT OF
CLIMATE CHANGE & NOISE POLLUTION
GRIST REPORTS :
Cicadas à la carte?
Here’s why it’s so hard to get Americans to eat bugs
Lobbyists, conspiracy theories, and your "ick" factor stand in the way
By AYURELLA HO
Edible insects could decarbonize America's food system. But lobbyists,
conspiracy theories, and your "ick" factor stand in the way.
When Cortni Borgerson thinks about the trillion or so periodical cicadas
emerging from underground, she sees more than clumsily flying insects
flitting from tree to tree in search of a mate. She sees lunch.
Some may find that idea revolting, a belief often, if unknowingly, steeped
in colonialism and the notion that eating insects is "uncivilized." But
Borgerson, an anthropologist at Montclair State University, is a big fan
of dining on bugs of all kinds, but finds cicadas particularly appetizing.
"It's one of the best American insects," she says.
Their texture, she says, is something like peeled shrimp, and their taste
akin to what you'd experience
"if a chicken nugget and a sunflower seed had a baby
"Some insects have an incredible opportunity, and a potential, to reduc
e our carbon footprint in a delicious, but sustainable, way," she says.
Roughly 30 percent of the world's population considers insects a delicacy
A study published earlier this year found that over 3,000 ethnic groups
across 128 countries eat 2,205 species of Insecta,
Julie Lesnik, an anthropologist at Wayne State University who studies the
Western bias toward eating things like beetles, calls the "ick" response
many Americans have toward the idea a cultural byproduct of colonization.
"Disgust is felt very viscerally and biologically," she says. "So to tell
somebody their aversion to insects is cultural and not physiologically
programmed is a difficult thing to wrap your head around, because
you can feel your stomach turn, you can feel the gag reflex come up
if you are disgusted by the idea of eating insects. But disgust is one of
the few learned emotions. So we are disgusted by the things our culture
tells us to be disgusted by."
Such a reaction also can be a sign of internalized prejudice, she says
. Indigenous peoples throughout North America once consumed a variety
of insects, a practice European colonists deemed "uncivilized" — a way to "other" nonwhite communities and cultural practices.
"Is it racist? Yes, simply put," Lesnik says.
Friday, May 31, 2024
Thursday, May 30, 2024
Wednesday, May 29, 2024
FACTOID WINTER CHILLS HARVARD MISINFORMATION REVIEW
- 1. A piece of unverified information that. advertised as factual, becomes accepted as true because of frequent repetition.
- 2. A brief, somewhat interesting fact.
- 3. An inaccurate statement or statistic believed true because of widespread citation by the media.
Norman Mailer coined the term "factoid" in his 1973 book, Marilyn: A Biography, in which he described "factoids" as "facts which have no existence before appearing in a magazine or newspaper",[5] and formed the word by combining fact and the ending -oid to mean "similar but not the same". The press soon described Mailer's new word as referring to "something that looks like a fact, could be a fact, but in fact is not a fact".
Modern media possess the power to generate factoids on scales that are culturally epochal, like the " Energy Crisis" of the 1970's.
However, as their existence is perceptual and metaphysical rather than concrete, factoids, once created, or inflated, may swiftly become their own antitheses. After precipitating a recession, and bringing down an incumbent American President, Jimmy Carter, the "Energy Crisis" morphed into the "Oil Glut" of the early 1980's.
By 1993 factoids had become thingy enough to merit mention in William Safire's New York Times survey of common misconceptions and urban legends. In it, he identified several contrasting senses of factoid:
- "factoid: accusatory: misinformation purporting to be factual; or, a phony statistic."
- "factoid: neutral: seemingly though not necessarily factual"
- "factoid: (the CNN version): a little-known bit of information; trivial but interesting data."
According to the Wikipedia,
" this new sense of a factoid as a trivial but interesting fact was popularized by the CNN Headline News TV channel, which, during the 1980s and 1990s, often included such a fact under the heading "factoid" during newscasts. BBC Radio 2 presenter Steve Wright used factoids extensively on his show as well."
A few decades later, American scholars rediscovered the once obscure Soviet art of Dezinformatsia, and factoids soon grew into a academic cottage industry with specialized journals focusing on echo chamber acoustics and the dark arts of justifying behavioral engineering and social entrepreneurship.
Inevitably, one soon discovered that political interest in the subject was somewhat less than symmetrical :
Harvard Kennedy School Misinformation Review
July 2023, Volume 4, Issue 4
DOI: https://doi.org/10.37016/mr-2020-119
Research Article
A survey of expert views on misinformation: Definitions, determinants, solutions, and future of the field
Sacha Altay (1), Manon Berriche (2), Hendrik Heuer (3), Johan Farkas (4), Steven Rathje (5)
We surveyed 150 academic experts on misinformation and identified areas of expert consensus. Experts defined misinformation as false and misleading information, though views diverged on the importance of Intentionality and what exactly constitutes misinformation.
The most popular reason why people believe and share misinformation was partisanship, while lack of education was one of the least popular reasons.
Experts were optimistic about the effectiveness of interventions against misinformation and supported system-level actions against misinformation, such as platform design changes and algorithmic changes...
Experts leaned strongly toward the left of the political spectrum:
Very right-wing (0), Fairly right-wing fairly right-wing (0), Slightly right-of-center (7), Center (15), Slightly left-of-center (43), Fairly left-wing (62), Very left-wing (21).
The misinformation experts represent a broad range of scientific fields. Experts specialized in
psychology (39), communication and media science (32), political science (22), computational social sciences (17), computer science (9), sociology (8), journalism (8), philosophy (5), other (4), medicine/other (2), linguistics (2), history (1), physics (1).
HOW VERY INCONVENIENT !
Considerable interest exists in understanding how climate change affects wildfire activity.
Here, we use the Community Earth System Model version 2 to show that future anthropogenic aerosol mitigation yields larger increases in fire activity in the Northern Hemisphere boreal forests, relative to a base simulation that lacks climate policy and has large increases in greenhouse gases.
The enhanced fire response is related to a deeper layer of summertime soil drying, consistent with increased downwelling surface shortwave radiation and enhanced surface evapotranspiration. In contrast, soil column drying is muted under increasing greenhouse gases due to plant physiological responses to increased carbon dioxide and by enhanced melting of soil ice at a depth that increases soil liquid water.
Although considerable uncertainty remains in the representation of fire processes in models, our results suggest that boreal forest fires may be more sensitive to future aerosol mitigation than to greenhouse gas–driven warming.
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