Wednesday, August 12, 2020

COVID HYPE 2.0 : NAE BETTER DEAD SCOTSMAN

A REALCLIMATE READER HAS EXPRESSED INDIGNATION AT A  RECENT OPINION POLL ON POPULAR PERCEPTIONS OF COVID CASE AND  DEATH NUMBERS   BECAUSE THEY  WERE REPORTED IN THE SPECTATOR, WHICH   HE DERIDES AS "STUPID"

I BEG TO REMIND HIM THAT HIS POLITICAL OPINION OF THAT JOURNAL, WHICH NUMBERS BORIS JOHNSON AMONG ITS RECENT EDITORS AND HAS PUBLISHED 10,012 ISSUES SINCE 1828, HAS NO BEARING ON THE STATISTICS IT REPORTS, OR CONCLUSIONS  DRAWN  FROM THEM, WITNESS THE  PRIMARY SOURCE NAMED IN MY LINK:


HERE ARE THOSE RESULTS ENLARGED FOR LEGIBILITY:

Tuesday, August 11, 2020

IT'S JUST LIKE EARTH, BUT WITH MORE TERRAFORMING


WIRED  WORRYWORT JERRINE TAN WRITES OF

The Fantasy and the Cyberpunk Futurism of Singapore

 Revisiting William Gibson’s 1993 essay on the city-state took me back to my home, where future is past.. Singapore was eager to host the 2018 Trump-Kim summit, which a local politician called an “incredible branding opportunity.” ...

At the brink of climate catastrophe, we must know that unchecked growth will doom us all to destitution. Going green has to be for real, and we cannot afford to hold onto the hollow dream of capital accumulation for its own sake.

            THE POSTMODERN THEORY OF DETERRENCE:
    GEOENGINEERING IS AN INVITATION TO NUCLEAR WAR,
BECAUSE THAT'S WHAT ALAN ROBOCK TOLD BOB SOCOLOW

Fifty years after he wrote a letter to Krushchev demanding a unilateral nuclear attack on the United States, Fidel Castro invited perennial "Nuclear Winter" maven Alan Robock to Havana for an update. The late caudillo's departure has not deterred Alan from reframing geoengineering as an invitation to nuclear war on Australian Broadcasting Company radio:


'About ten years ago , there was a conference at the Asilomar conference center in Monterey, California , and a  professor from Princeton, Rob Socolow, went around asking:


"What's the worse thing that could happen if we did this?

The answer was global nuclear war, because if one country did something that they though would help them, and  it was harmful to another country, they might be quite upset...'

Monday, August 10, 2020

TRUMP PRESS OFFICE BRACES FOR HIROSHIMA PUSHBACK

At the White House yesterday, a reporter asked President Trump if he would have asked President Obama to resign if 160,000 people  had died in a viral pandemic?

The President replied:
" No, I wouldn’t have done that, it’s been amazing what we’ve been able to do. We’ve called it right, now we don’t have to close it, we understand the disease. 
Nobody understood it because nobody’s ever seen anything like this. The closest thing is in 1917, they say, right, the great pandemic certainly was a terrible thing where they lost anywhere from 50 to 100 million people. 
Probably ended the Second World War, all the soldiers were sick. That was a terrible situation."

Sunday, August 9, 2020

                            NAE TRUE DEAD SCOTSMAN

      THE  HARPER'S  REAPERS INDEX AUGUST  2020


PERCENTAGE OF THEIR COUNTRYMEN  PEOPLE ASSUME COVID HAS THUS FAR KILLED:   

UK :  ENGLAND   6.8 %  ( = 4.5 MILLION )

UK: SCOTLAND   10%    ( =   7 MILLION ) 

    AMERICA            9%    ( =   28 MILLION )
                            SOURCE:  KEKST CNC POLL  8 AUGUST


PERCENTAGE KILLED WORLDWIDE ACCORDING TO UN:                        
                       0.01%  ( = 0.78 MILLION )

PERCENTAGE INCREASE IN GLOBAL POPULATION SINCE START OF COVID PANDEMIC:

                       0.61%   ( = 47.5 MILLION ) 


PERCENTAGE BY WHICH POPULAR PERCEPTION OF COVID MORTALITY EXCEEDS REALITY IN THE UNITED STATES:

17,500  PER CENT. 


Tuesday, August 4, 2020

              INSTANT FAMINE :  JUST ADD FERTILIZER

BEIRUT'S APOCALYPTIC FERTILIZER EXPLOSION HAS SHATTERED  THE HUB OF  THE LEVANTINE GRAIN TRADE


This BBC clip is like watching a Tom Clancy  film in slow motion :

Play it backward from the  mushroom cloud, and behold :

  • Shocked  cries of "Allahu Akbar!" as Beirut's waterfront dissapears inside a spherical condensation cloud
  • In a literal flash, the deflagation wave accelerates into a shock front that detonates kilotons of fertilizer in miliseconds
  • Succesive piles of ammonium nitrate decompose, releasing enough heat, to launch a a huge red cloud of nitrogen oxides.
  • Explosions roll through rows of  hazardous material warehouses after an initial sky high blast.
THERE GOES THEIR DAILY BREAD
If there's an element of the sardonic in this precis, it's because I had to testify to Congress after the 1993 World Trade Center fertilizer bombing was mirrored in the 1995 Oklahoma City Federal Building attack. Here's the op-ed that precipitated my testimony: 

The New York Times May 16, 1995 Op-Ed

 Doom at 8 Cents A Pound

BYLINE:  By Russell Seitz
DATELINE: CAMBRIDGE, Mass.  

It takes a great deal of fertilizer to feed the world. Ammonium nitrate, made by the millions of tons out of air and water, and readily available in farm supply stores, is equally serviceable as an explosive and a plant food. Yet it was sold without question -- until the Federal building was bombed in Oklahoma City. Now the victims of that bombing have sued the manufacturer of the ammonium nitrate, asking why, since it can be rendered harmless, they were put at risk. 

Despite the carnage, this cornucopia of destructive potential flows on. Ten dollars buys all the ammonium nitrate you can carry. It can cost more to rent a truck than to build a bomb. Last year, more than four billion pounds was legally sold in the United States -- enough for literally a million explosions as powerful as the one that shattered the Federal building..

Global control of explosives made from just air, water and energy is a problem that security analysts are tempted to toss on the too-hard pile. But the domestic supply of ammonium nitrate could be defused by following Britain and Germany, where only blended fertilizers are sold; the producers put in inert potassium and phosphorus compounds to make the ammonium nitrate content unexplodable.

Europe learned the hard way. In 1921, a multimillion-pound detonation obliterated the Rhineland town of Oppau, killing 560. From Halifax, Nova Scotia (about 3,400 dead) to Texas City (about 1,200 dead), memories still linger of the shiploads that exploded, bringing a taste of Hiroshima to our shores.

But despite heroic efforts to halt proliferation of weapons of mass destruction, the shipping of ammonium nitrate continues. It should worry regulators of nuclear materials and nerve gas that at 8 cents a pound an atom bomb's worth of explosive yield is appallingly cheap -- Hiroshima and Nagasaki for half the price of a small corporate jet! Explosive power enough to refight World War II is on the loose -- and the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty is powerless even to address it.

In the absence of constant vigilance, any terrorist organization with enough money could load an aging supertanker with a quarter-megaton of ammonium nitrate and fuel oil. It is easy to dismiss such a virtual H-bomb as a novelistic device -- until one goes off in New York Harbor.

Cold war reflexes die hard.  A real danger resides in the thousands of barge and trainloads of ammonium nitrate that ply the nation's waterways  and rails unguarded every year. There is little to prevent them from being hijacked and to defend the cities they transit. .

Last year, enough detonating cord was stolen to set off thousands of tons of ammonium nitrate and fuel oil; at ground zero, all kilotons, nuclear and conventional, are created equal.


Farming methods change slowly, but other nitrogen fertilizers already compete with ammonium nitrate and could displace it entirely. The Department of Agriculture, which has agents at the county level, could assist by deploying taggants -- trace elements or layered particles that can be put in fertilizer and can be read like bar codes to connect terrorists to the source of the fertilizer. Although the fertilizer industry may object to the expense, few in Oklahoma City are likely to protest.

Though Hollywood's glut of erupting office buildings may trouble the nation's psyche even more than talk radio does, it remains hard to imagine anything transcending what we witnessed in Oklahoma City. Yet that act's very enormity testifies that we must exercise the imagination of disaster -- or endure unending surprise.

 Russell Seitz is an associate of Harvard University's Olin Institute for Strategic Studies.

Copyright 1995 The New York Times Company

Saturday, August 1, 2020

                                       A BLURB TOO FAR

Michael Shellenberger's drift from the dork side to the dark side of Ecomodernism has culminated in a self-congratulatory review of his own book, Apocalypse Never. 

The puff piece in Forbes lasted only until a human editor read, and pulled it, as an egregious example of something Murdoch loathes: un-paid-for self advertisement.

Shellenberger's polemic advertorial took many readers of  his earlier works aback, including MIT's Kerry Emanuel, who contibuted a cover blurb for the book itself. Here's what he has to say in retrospect :

Apocalypse Maybe

by Kerry Emanuel, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Every day, each of us deals with a variety of risks, from deciding whether and when to cross a busy highway to how much insurance to buy for a house or car. When analyzed, each of these decisions has three components: An assessment of the probability of something bad happening (e.g. being run down), the cost of that bad thing (being seriously injured or killed), and the cost of avoiding or reducing the risk (missing the bus by waiting until it is safe to cross the road). Attitudes toward risk range the gamut, from devil-may-care recklessness to extreme, obsessive caution, but most of us are rational about risk, most of the time.
We also have to confront risks as members of communities. Civic organizations, businesses, and political entities (towns, states, and nations) all have to deal with risk and in so doing handle the range of risk aversion among its members. A current example is our struggle to deal with COVID-19, weighing the risk of serious illness and death against the economic and social costs of reducing the risk. In our time, what might have been a rational discussion about how best to cope with the risk is drowned out by extremists, such as those who refuse to wear masks, whose voices are amplified by social media.
Lurking just off stage is climate change, the 6,000-pound gorilla of global risk. It is a monster of a risk problem because it is slow-moving, global, has large uncertainty, and would cost a great deal to avert. It is hardly surprising that it has engendered a vigorous debate, dominated, as many issues are, by noisy extremists. On the one hand we have apocalyptic statements to the effect that the world will end in 12 years if nothing is done, to the assertions by lackeys of the fossil fuel industry, for whom trillions of dollars are at stake, that there is nothing to worry about. The calm, reasoned voices of scientists are shunted aside in the raucous bid for Twitter acclaim, Facebook fame, and, of course, the almighty dollar.
The most recent entry into the fray is Michael Shellenberger, whose book “Apocalypse Never” is a take-down of the doomsday crowd, chiding both its pessimism and its embrace of unrealistic solutions. I wrote a blurb for the book’s dust jacket, criticizing environmentalists for their embrace of unworkable and environmentally deleterious solutions such as 100% renewable energy and their opposition to nuclear energy, which other nations have ramped up quickly and thereby greatly reduced carbon emissions.
Inevitably, Shellenberger’s critique of doomsday extremists has been appropriated by climate denier groups to bolster their contention that there is no serious risk, a contention that has no basis in fact. Sadly, this effort has been aided by promotional pieces penned by Shellenberger himself that have had the effect, intentionally or not, of greatly downplaying real climate risks. Shellenberger makes a number of statements whose effect is to lead the reader to believe there is no risk at all. For example, he claims that “climate change is not making natural disasters worse”. Indeed, the per capita death toll from natural disasters has been declining for 100 years, owing to large improvements in warning, evacuations, post-disaster medical care, and other advances. The most we can say about climate disasters is that they have not (yet) actually reversed this trend. Shellenberger’s nonsequitur is rather like saying that the Boeing 737 MAX did not make flying more dangerous, given the long-term decline in aviation deaths per passenger-mile. In point of fact, theory, models, and observations of weather events such as floods, heatwaves, and hurricanes leave little doubt that climate change is making extreme weather events more dangerous.
It is important for all of us to try to step out of the fray, however tempting and even addictive it may be to our tribal impulses, and take a cold, hard look at climate change risk. We climate scientists are doing our best, but there remains large uncertainty in estimates of climate change over this century. At the low end, we should be able to adapt to the change, for the most part. At the high end, we are taking risks that might prove existential to civilization. A rational society looks at the whole spectrum of risk and makes wise decisions that avert as much of the risk as possible without incurring unacceptable costs. As with the decision to cross a busy highway, we should be willing to spend a great deal to avert a fatal outcome, even if that has relatively low probability.
Fortunately, much of our climate risk may be averted by technical innovation. While 100% renewable energy is neither desirable nor financially viable at the moment, combining wind and solar power sources with more reliable energy sources, such as hydro power, nuclear, and gas with carbon sequestration makes a great deal of sense. And not just for averting climate risk but for reducing the staggering death toll from air pollution resulting from coal and oil combustion and for providing inexpensive, abundant energy for lifting many societies out of wrenching poverty.
But free markets are not driving this technical innovation fast enough to avert the worst climate risks. As we have done often and productively in the past, we need to accelerate innovation by funding research and development and by taxing the harmful side effects of the dominant industry (fossil fuels in this case). By this means, we can hope to catch up to Russia and China, who are competing with each other to capture the $7 trillion global energy market by producing and exporting renewable energy technology and nuclear power.
If we can only put aside our tribal squabbles, look at climate change rationally, and take advantage of new technologies for generating energy, we can avert much climate risk while at the same time making life better for ourselves and for the hundreds of millions of people who currently have no access to electricity. What are we waiting for?


Tuesday, July 28, 2020

      RELEVANT  INTERACTIVE ANALYTICS REFRAMED TO
 CONFRONT IDIOTIC BLOG DECONSTRUCTION SITUATIONS

Win an easy ten quid! Send this to Pseud's Corner@Private Eye


Online Climate Change Polarization:

Interactional Framing Analysis of 

Climate Change Blog Comments

First Published July 28, 2020 Research Article  https://doi.org/10.1177/1075547020942228

While increasingly more is known about how to reframe the relevance of climate change, much less is known about how people deal with situations in which they are confronted with frames that are incompatible with their own frames. The current research conducts an interactional framing analysis to investigate how users in climate change blog comments interactively construct the meaning of issues, identities and relationships, and their interactions. Results show that most framing differences start with issue framing but thereafter shift to identity and relationship or process framing. Finally, users mostly deploy polarizing interaction strategies to deal with these framing differences.

                               A NATIONAL DISTEMPER ?

With almost 150,000 COVID-19 deaths, the United States, putative leader of the free world, now is competing with Brazil and Russia for global supremacy in pandemic mismanagement... Yet some conservatives continue to protest even basic public-health measures, including masks. How could some of America’s best and brightest abet their country’s collapse into dysfunction in the face of a once-in-a-century pandemic?...




Why Have So Many American Conservatives Embraced COVID-19 Pseudoscience?


The demand that the medical community recognize the miraculous COVID-19-curing qualities of hydroxychloroquine formed another absurd subplot. In his in-depth report on Didier Raoult, the controversial French professor who championed the drug, journalist Scott Sayare explained that much of the misinformation began spreading in early March, when Gregory Rigano—who falsely presented himself as an advisor to Stanford Medical School—self-published a Google Docs report on the subject that he’d formatted so that it looked like a legitimate scientific paper.

Fox News host Laura Ingraham picked upon his misinformation, and pronounced hydroxychloroquine to be a “game-changer.” Sean Hannity followed suit. Rigano appeared on Tucker Carlson’s show, where he claimed that Raoult’s study had shown a 100 percent cure rate. At a March 19th White House task force briefing, President Trump repeated the claim that the drug was a “game changer.”
In time, the debate over hydroxychloroquine became suffused with misinformation on both sides, as even the debunkers who opposed Trump’s claims ignored the usual scientific safeguards. In May, the Lancet published a report declaring that hydroxychloroquine wasn’t merely ineffective in regard to COVID-19, but dangerous, too. In June, that work was retracted.

This was around the same time that progressive media and public-health groups were insisting that mass attendance at Black Lives Matter events was perfectly safe because the underlying political cause was important—an absurd contradiction ...

UNFORTUNATELY, BLM FOUNDER  PATRISSE CULLORS IS AN OLD HAND AT CONTRADICTIONS :

When it comes to COVID-19, Trump and his followers may have led the assault on the sanctity of science. But many of his opponents have made a bad situation worse, proving that political extremism can be a risk to human health no matter which direction it comes from.

* * *

I SAW THE WITCH DOCTOR AND SHE TOLD ME WHAT TO DO

BBC NEWS PIGIN SERVICE MEKEM FISK, SAYEM BIGFELLA JUJU BLONG COVID KANAKA IM BUGGERIMAP FINIS:

Dr Stella Immanuel Hydroxychloroquine video: Facts you fit no sabi about dis drug for covid video of Houston Texas doctor wey Facebook, Twitter Periscope delete


  • Daniel Semeniworima
  • Senior Broadcast Journalist
Hydroxychloroquine wey be anti-malarial drug na for May 2020 US President Donald Trump first say im dey take hydroxychloroquine as preventive measure against Covid-19, although sabi pipo don warn about di side effects.
Latest tori be say one American doctor don go viral afta one Dr Stella Immanuel wey be primary health physician for Houston, Texas US inside one for one video tell tori pipo for news conference say she don treat ova 350 patients wey get Covid-19.
Dr. Immanuel still dey insist say she know wetin she dey tok.

End of Twitter post, 1
But sabi pipo still dey study if hydroxychloroquine (and one drug wey resemble am wey dem dey call chloroquine) dey effective against coronavirus.
Di World Health Organization say dem dey concerned about reports of pipo wey dey do self-medication and dey cause serious harm to dia bodi.
World Health Organization announce on July 4 say dem don stop dia trial of hydroxychloroquine and lopinavir/ritonavir drugs. 
Dem organize di trial to find out how effective di drugs be to treat Covid-19.
According to di result of di trial wey dem do, hydroxychloroquine and lopinavir/ritonavir no really reduce death of Covid-19 patients for hospital wen you compare to di regular treatment wey dem receive.
So far coronavirus don catch more than 16 million pipo across di world according to World Health Organization.





Donald Trump retweet Dr. Stella Immanuel Covid video and Hydroxychloroquine





Wetin we call dis foto, 
President Trump bin don talk about using dis drugs for Covid-19



The Houston doctor who was part of a controversial viral video touting hydroxychloroquine as a "cure" for COVID-19 has said certain gynecological issues are caused by sexual encounters with demons in dreams, along with other dubious medical claims.
The Daily Beast has published an extensive collection of some of the views of Dr. Stella Immanuel, who was part of a video showing a group of doctors making misleading and false claims about the coronavirus pandemic that was removed from Facebook and Twitter--but only after it garnered tens of millions of views and was retweeted by President Donald Trump.
The video recorded in front of the U.S. Supreme Court, according to The Washington Post, claimed that face masks and lockdowns are not needed to stop COVID-19.

LIVING PROOF INTERNET SCAMS ARE NOT NIGERIA'S ONLY COMPETITIVE INDUSTRY 

Sunday, July 26, 2020

  INTERSECTIONAL   GOOP  MAKES  VOGUE  RUNWAY DEBUT

Intersectional environmentalism is an inclusive version of environmentalism that advocates for both the protection of people and the planet. It identifies the ways in which injustices happening to marginalized communities and the earth are interconnected. It brings injustices done to the most vulnerable communities, and the earth... 

Every environmentalist needs to hold themselves accountable and do the inner anti-racism work to achieve both climate and social justice. 

Take the Intersectional Environmentalist Pledge to learn more about what steps you can take, read Black Nature: Four Centuries of African American Nature Poetry by Camille T. Dungy, and listen to The Yikes PodcastWe must move forward and push for intersectional environmentalism to save the planet, and Black lives.



Leah Thomas is an intersectional environmental activist and eco-communicator. You can follow her work on instagram @GreenGirlLeah
BLACK LIVES MATTER FOUNDER PATRISSE CULLORS DOES NOT SUBSRIBE TO @GREENGIRLLEAH 'S ANALYSIS, INSISTING THAT RED IS THE NEW BLACK:

Saturday, July 25, 2020

   TINFOIL PRICES SOAR AS GULLIBLE PRAT IN TIN HAT
       FOILS TINPOT FASCIST MARXIST MASKIST PLOT

Compulsory Masks Will Divide Britain More Bitterly than Brexit
JAMES DELINGPOLE  24 Jul 2020
JAMES DELINGPOLE MODELS UNPLEASANT AND RESTRICTIVE TO WEAR  FRENCH TIN HAT 
Never mind Brexit...
Masks are dehumanising, they impede communication, they’re unpleasant and restrictive to wear, they aid and abet criminals, and — unless they’re medical-grade, which most aren’t — and there is no proof, as of yet, that they significantly prevent the spread of Chinese coronavirus, or even prevent spread at all. 

To make them compulsory, without offering a scientific justification is the biggest assault... on civil liberty in centuries... the worst conflict ...will [be] between... Covid skeptics... and... cowardly, hysterical, ill-informed, bossy, gullible tinpot fascists 

NEXT DAY AT:

Watts Up With That?

The world's most viewed site on global warming and climate change


Does Universal Mask Wearing Decrease or Increase the Spread of COVID -19?

Wednesday, July 22, 2020

     WHAT'S THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN A GREEK CLIMATE
                        RETREAT AND A BEACH RAVE IN IBIZA?

 Ravers on Ibiza do not suffer cliche' gladly:


Holistic Education in the Heart of Greece







INNER RESILIENCE FOR TENDING A SACRED UNRAVELLING


The emerging realisation that climate change is becoming a destructive tragedy, not just an urgent challenge, is profoundly disorientating for many people. How are we to feel? What are we to do? What might become the purpose of our lives and work in the face of imminent societal breakdown from climate chaos?

...join us for a week of dialogue and reflection with people working on this Deep Adaptation agenda... to help make this a kinder and more sacred unravelling of life-as-we-know-it. 

We will draw upon... emotional, spiritual and somatic ways of being and (un)learning, as well as the intellectual/cognitive. Our aspiration is that we will support peaceful empowered surrender to our predicament...

The food is mostly locally sourced, all home-cooked and vegetarian...  bring a reading, practice or insight to share that is helping you to explore living lovingly and actively in the face of climate-induced collapse...


Optional evening activities.. such as Ecstatic Dance are organised at nearby centres).