Monday, July 29, 2024

                           CLIMATE OF EUDAEMONIA

Lewis H. Lapham | 1935-2024

A tribute from the Board of the American Agora Foundation.

Memento Mori
Lewis H. Lapham


By the generations antecedent to my own… it seemed to be more or less well understood, as it had been by Montaigne that one’s own death “was a part of the order of the universe…a part of the life of the world."

For the last sixty or seventy years, the consensus of decent American opinion (cultural, political, and existential) has begged to differ, making no such outlandish concession. To do so would be weak-minded, offensive, and wrong, contrary to the doctrine of American exceptionalism that entered the nation’s bloodstream subsequent to its emergence from the Second World War crowned in victory, draped in virtue. 

Military and economic command on the world stage fostered the belief that America was therefore exempt from the laws of nature... The wonders of medical science raked from the ashes of the war gave notice of the likelihood that soon,… death would be reclassified as a preventable disease. 

The article of faith sustained... both the 1960s countercultural revolution (incited by a generation that didn’t wish to grow up) and the Republican Risorgimento of the 1980s (sponsored by a generation that didn’t choose to grow old)...


The substituting of the promise of technology for the consolations of philosophy had been foreseen by John Stuart Mill as the inevitable consequence of the nineteenth century’s marching ever upward on the roads of social and political reform... Mill noted...

“The remedies for all our diseases will be discovered long after we are dead, and the world will be made a fit place to live in after the death of most of those by whose exertions have been made so.”

 His premonition is now… bankrolled by Dmitry Itskov, a Russian multimillionaire, vouched for by the Dalai Lama and a synod of Silicon Valley visionaries…

The question “Why can’t I live forever?” assigns the custody of one’s death to powers that make it their business to promote and instill the fear of it…during the Cold War, the American government, both Democrat and Republican, deployed the shadow of death (i.e., the constant threat of nuclear annihilation) to limit the freedoms and quiet the voices of the American people. The surveillance apparatus now waging the perpetual war on terror is geared to control a herd of trembling obedience.


The settled opinion that Americans don’t deserve to die—not their kind of thing—protects the profits of the insurance, healthcare, pharmaceutical, and media industries, puts the money on the table for the cruise missile, the personal trainer, and the American Express card that nobody can afford to leave home without."

Sunday, July 28, 2024

CLIMATE MODELING : WE NEED A MUCH BIGGER COMPUTER

A temperate super-Jupiter imaged with JWST in the mid-infrared

Abstract

Of the ~25 directly imaged planets to date, all are younger than 500Myr and all but 6 are younger than 100Myr1. Eps Ind A (HD209100, HIP108870) is a K5V star of roughly solar age (recently derived as 3.7-5.7Gyr2 and Gyr3). A long-term radial velocity trend 4,5 as well as an astrometric acceleration6,7 led to claims of a giant planet2,8,9 orbiting the nearby star (3.6384±0.0013pc10). Here we report JWST coronagraphic images that reveal a giant exoplanet which is consistent with these radial and astrometric measurements, but inconsistent with the previously claimed planet properties. The new planet has temperature ~275K, and is remarkably bright at 10.65µm and 15.50µm. Non-detections between 3.5-5µm indicate an unknown opacity source in the atmosphere, possibly suggesting a high metallicity, high carbon-to-oxygen ratio planet. The best-fit temperature of the planet is consistent with theoretical thermal evolution models, which are previously untested at this temperature range. The data indicates that this is likely the only giant planet in the system and we therefore refer to it as “b”, despite it having significantly different orbital properties than the previously claimed planet “b”.


Epsilon Indi planet A is two thirds the size of the Sun, but has roughly the same temperature as the Earth. As a gas giant, its atmosphere may be as hostile to human life as Jupiter's, and with 12,000 times the surface of the Earth, a nightmare for climate modeling, but its huge size comes with one very  attractive feature. 

The Solar System has a narrow temperate zone. Most of its planets are nowhere near the temperature range of water-based life. But moons orbiting this 2.7 trillion square mile ball may share its moderate temperature. The superjupiter in question  has mass enough to gravitationally host  moons galore in a manner recalling the ancients epicyclic view of the solar system. But how many and how big?  

What I learned about lunar and planetary scaling in preparing this 2006 WSJ column suggests the answer could be wonderful, for  E Ind A is not only large enough to host a myriad of moons, some possibly Earth-sized, but so close at 12 light years that if we neighbors on any of then, we may already have something in common. At that distance they can hardly have missed our Sun shining as a second magnitude star in their night skies

 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL

OP ED PAGE MARCH 14 2006


A Snowball Under The Sun 

By Russell Seitz 


 

When NASA's Cassini mission blasted off for Saturn in 1997 bearing the Huygens probe, the ringed planet had 18 moons, the first five spotted in the 17th century by the astronomers whose names the mission honors. It's not their fault they missed Enceladus. Baroque astronomers peered through telescope glass about as transparent as a bottle of crusted port.

 

Enceladus, the bright little moon now making headlines for its spouting geysers, had to wait until 1789, when Royal Astronomer William Herschel had the benefit of achromatic lenses clear as spring water, as well as Sir Isaac Newton's newfangled reflecting telescope. Such instruments racked up another 13 Saturnian satellites in the three centuries that followed. But even with the best and biggest telescopes, Enceladus is still not much to look at. Seen from Earth, it's the closest thing to a snowball under the sun.

 

Frosty white, and featureless at a distance, it is also rather small. While Titan, which Huygens discovered, is a comparatively titanic 2,500 kilometers in diameter, Enceladus is a modest 500-a dozen like it could hide behind our moon. But between Cassini's liftoff and arrival, earthbound astronomers used smart optics and small telescopes on space probes to add more than a baker's dozen, bringing the waxing list to a mind-bending 35: Albiorix, Atlas, Calypso, Daphnis, Dione, Enceladus, Epimetheus, Erriapo, Helene, Hyperion, Iapetus, Ijiraq, Janus, Kiviuq, Methone, Mimas, Mundilfari, Narvi, Paaliaq, Pallene, Pan, Pandora, Phoebe, Polydeuces, Prometheus, Rhea, Siarnaq, Skadi, Suttung, Tarvos, Telesto, Tethys, Thrym, Titan and Ymir.

 

In addition to enough mythical Greeks to populate several Boy Meets Nymph operas and Scandinavians sufficient for a sitcom sequel to Götterdämmerung, the cast includes Inuit sea deities and a refugee from the Celtic Otherworld. This less reflects DEI or PC than sheer exhaustion. The  demiurge drain on new solar system names has cleared the shelves of Hindu handles, Gallic godlets and the African animist pantheon. Islam and Judaism are no help at all, and Asterix already has an asteroid as his namesake. Even postmodern astronomers blanche at the tentative name of the biggest ball of  wax in the Kuiper belt. If Xena achieves textbook immortality, there's no polite way to stop the declension of her mooning companion as-what else-Gabrielle. 

 

It can only get worse as telescopes get better. Saturn's latest squeeze, Daphnis, is such a midge she could be plunked down like the Flushing Perisphere for a War of the Worlds Fair in Kashmir without blocking the view of K2. 

 

Mundilfari is even smaller-three and a half miles must be a galactic record for vertically challenged fathers of sun gods. If telescopes keep growing, and moons shrinking at their present rate, before the eon is out Texans may be using minor satellites to shoot quail.

 

Now that we have established that Enceladus is an object of very respectable size, what's all this about life out there? Not a whiff has been discovered, despite the presence of liquid water-but though there is as yet no sign of life in the neighborhood, NASA is understandably chuffed about discovering the neighborhood itself. 

 

Yes, it's cold out there and there's no kind of atmosphere, except at the South Pole where sure as Old Faithful, the place has geysers galore, as in water gushing out of the ground and into direct sunlight. Just what makes this snowball spout remains an energetic mystery. Enceladus is way too light in both senses of the word for either solar heating or radioactive decay to be warming its core. It is also too far from massive Saturn for tidal forces to be flexing warmth into its frigid mix like a mass of sorbet or salt water taffy in mid-manufacture. Saturn's nearly identical ice moon, Mimas, takes more tidal stress, yet remains adamantly frozen. It has been so for a very long time, for its profoundly cratered surface boasts a black eye a third of its diameter, while Enceladus has the fresh-from-a-face-job look of something whose tectonic skin is rolling up and over at a goodly rate. 

 

So something is warming it up big time. But what? We face a hot scientific debate as to what antediluvian energy source allows liquid water  to bubble up out where  frigid liquid nitrogen serves as morning dew. For the moment what matters is that the water in question  is likely wet a stone's throw from the surface-a safe bet given that Enceladus surface gravity is so low that you could toss a dwarf half a mile. So even if  this snowball is sterile today, it may present places where an ice fisherman in a space suit could lower away a bald Chia Pet into a fissure and bring up an alfalfa salad. This is not much of a First Contact story by H.G. Wells, Robert Heinlein or Truffaut-Spielberg standards, but cheer up-at least we're not on the menu. Yet.

Wednesday, July 24, 2024

                                       LEND ME AN EAR!

In 1731 The Pennsylvania Gazette reported on  America's first partial ear loss crisis. 
It began with the search and seizure of a British ship, the Rebecca, off the coast of Cuba, by Tenante Dorce, a Spanish Guarde Costa officer who slashed the left ear of the ship's sailing master, Captain Jenkins and told him to tell King George III: 
"the same will happen to him if caught doing the same". 

Another contemporary account claims Lieutenant Dorce :
"took hold of his left Ear & with his Cutlass slit it down and then another of the Spaniards took hold of it and tore it off, but gave him the Piece of his Ear again, bidding him carry it to his Majesty King George."
When The Gentleman's Magazine for June 1731 arrived from London some months late at Ben Franklin's new lending library, Philadelphians learned that the incident was far from over:
"The Rebecca, Capt. Jenkins, was taken in her passage from Jamaica, by a Spanish Guarde Costa, who put her people to the torture; part of which was, that they hang'd up the Capt. three times, once with the Cabin-boy at his feet; they then cut off one of his Ears, took away his candles and instruments, and detain'd him a whole day. 

Being then dismissed, the Captain bore away... and after many Hardships and Perils arrived in the River Thames, June 11 …  and gave a deposition which was passed to the Duke  of  Newcastle, in his capacity as  Secretary of State  for the Southern Department (as such responsible for the American colonies)... then forwarded to the Commander-in-chief in the West Indies, who then complained of Jenkins' treatment to the Governor of Havana."
The Governor's reply failed to satisfy the Court of St. James's, but Prime Minister Walpole kept the peace by negotiating the Convention of Pardo with Spain, which provided compensation for vessels seized, but failed to stop Spanish interference with free trade.

As the years passed, British indignation mounted, and on 19 October 1739 Walpole finally declared war on Spain, leading to the loss of 407 ships and 20,000 mostly American lives, all for the want of an ear.

Full Disclosure per Nature rules :
The writer sailed as Brevet Lieutenant aboard his Spanish Majesty's ship JS Elcano from Newport News to Boston in 1980 and rejoined her briefly in 2019 as she retraced the route of the first circumnavigation of the globe, started by Ferdinand de Magellanes in 1519, and finished in 1523 by Juan Sebastian Elcano. No ears were slit in the course of these operations.

Sunday, July 21, 2024

PAKISTAN FIRES UP COAL POWERED AIR CONDITIONING

ISLAMABAD : 

Pakistan this month will ask Chinese power plants operating in the country to shift to using coal from Pakistan’s Thar region rather than imported coal, the power minister said on Sunday...

Neighbouring China has set up over $20 billion worth of energy projects in Pakistan.

“One of the key purposes of going along is the conversion of our imported coal units to the local coal. That would have a huge impact on the cost of energy, of power in the near future. 

The transition could save Pakistan more than 200 billion Pakistani rupees ($700 million) a year in imports, translating to a decrease of as much as 2.5 Pakistani rupees per unit in the price of electricity, Leghari said.

In April a subsidiary of conglomerate Engro (EGCH.PSX), opens new tab agreed to sell all of its thermal assets, including Pakistan’s leading coal producer, Sindh Engro Coal Mining to Pakistan’s Liberty Power. Liberty said the decision stemmed from Pakistan’s foreign exchange crunch and its indigenous coal reserve potential.

Saturday, July 20, 2024

  WHOLEFOODS OLDFOODS LET YOUR KIDS STAND SMALL


SMALLER FEET MEAN SMALLER  CARBON FOOTPRINTS, AND SMALLER VEGETABLES  
ARE THE FIRST STEP ON THE ROAD TO SHORTER VEGANS



"Mate with shorter people, you’re potentially saving the planet by shrinking the needs of subsequent generations. Lowering the height minimum for prospective partners on your dating profile is a step toward a greener planet."

— MARA ALTMAN, THE NEW YORK TIMES

JANUARY 1, 2023





Friday, July 19, 2024

                               CLIMATE OF DELIVERANCE

STEVE SCHNEIDER & CARL SAGAN ON THE FIRING LINE

Just before the Ides of March 1985, the Senate hosted an exchange on "nuclear winter" featuring Steve Schneider and  Carl Sagan , seen here behind Assistant Secretary of Defense Richard Pearl, who had some cautionary words to say about  the problematic independence of climate science in the Soviet Union, where at the time, Andrei Sakharov was under house arrest in the closed city of Gorky:

Two weeks later our mutual friend Vladimir Alexandrov, a Candidate Academician and Moscow's favorite climate modeling talking head, addressed a conference  of peace activists in Spain aimed at preventing Nato deployment of tactical nuclear weapons in Europe to offset the expansion of Soviet and Warsaw Pact tank and mobile artillery forces in East Germany.

The organizer of the conference, Cordoba's Eurocommunist Mayor, found Alexandrov's remarks disconcerting, and informed the Soviet Embassy in Madrid, which requested his delivery to their door. The Mayor complied and had him escorted to his official car for the 400 kilometer drive to the capital, which arrived in front of the Embassy on the Calle de Velázquez in the early hours of Palm Sunday

The driver and escort say they found a white van waiting, and that when three men emerged from it, Alexandrov bolted, but was seized  by them and put into the vehicle, which drove off into the night. The time was ~1:30 AM, March 31, 1985. Alexandrov has not been seen since.

Tuesday, July 16, 2024

GRAUN WARNS BRITAIN OF BRISK NEW CLIMATE RISK

Storm Ciarán’s low pressure 

made tea taste worse, say scientists

Thursday, July 11, 2024

WINES THAT PAIR WELL WITH POLAR BEAR PATE'

In  Mark Steyn's delusional view, Europe's regional "medieval warm period " was hot enough for Vikings  to make to make wine in Greenland.

He has dismissed  global warming as a hoax on the grounds that vines no longer grew as far north as the Medieval vineyards of England's Eli cathedral. 

Except that they do. Steyn's reflexive denial of the consequences of the Industrial Revolution has made him the laughing stock of British winemakers

Thanks to the amplification of global warming by long summer days at high latitudes, wine making has in recent decades marched north clear through Northumbria  and Scotland to the Outer Hebrides!

Not to be outdone, the Viking's descendants are now making wine in Telemark, a Norwegian region better known for inventing skis than growing fruit

Here's a tasting of recent vintages from the Danish border to the edge of the Arctic Circle:

Wednesday, July 10, 2024

TUCKER CARLSON'S FIRST DAY IN CLIMATE SCHOOL

Sanctioned Russian oligarch and Putin pal Andrey Melinchenko has  inadvertently imposed sanity on Tucker and his fans by  giving him a long , lucid and clearly unexpected lecture on climate science and realpolitik 

The noted Trump University drop-out's last science tutor  was  Fred Singer protege turned  John Birch Society summer camp instructor  Willie Soon:

Tuesday, July 9, 2024

CLIMATE WITCH HUNT ENDS IN WITCH ARREST

In UNrelated news, Senator James inhofe
DIED SUDDENLY TODAY

MALE (AFP) — Police in the Maldives have arrested a state environment minister, officers said Thursday, with media in the Indian Ocean nation reporting she was accused of performing “black magic” on the president.

State Minister for Environment, Climate Change and Energy, Fathimath Shamnaz Ali Saleem, was arrested on Sunday along with two others in the capital Male, police said.

She has been remanded in custody for a week pending investigations, officers added, without giving details for her arrest.

“There have been reports that Shamnaz was arrested for performing black magic on President Dr. Mohamed Muizzu,” said the Sun, a local media outlet.

Police would neither confirm nor deny the report.

Her position is an important job in a nation on the frontlines of the climate crisis, with United Nations environment experts warning rising seas could make it virtually uninhabitable by the end of the century.


Sunday, July 7, 2024

        WE HOLD THESE TRUTHS TO BE SELF -EVIDENT

WHAT WE DO

We have assembled world-class researchers, labs, thought leaders, and practitioners to translate research about misinformation and disinformation into policy, technology design, curriculum development, and public engagement…. Our nonpartisan Center brings together diverse voices from across industry, government, nonprofits, other institutions, as well as those from communities and populations typically underrepresented in research and practice in this field.


SCIENCE ADVANCES        VOL. 7, NO. 23

CONSERVATIVES’ SUSCEPTIBILITY TO POLITICAL MISPERCEPTIONS

R. KELLY GARRETT HTTPS://ORCID.ORG/0000-0001-7022-7452 AND ROBERT M. BONDAuthors Info & Affiliations

 Jun 2021      DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.abf1234

Abstract

The idea that U.S. conservatives are uniquely likely to hold misperceptions is widespread but has not been systematically assessed. 

Research has focused on beliefs about narrow sets of claims never intended to capture the richness of the political information environment. Furthermore, factors contributing to this performance gap remain unclear. We generated an unique longitudinal dataset combining social media engagement data and a 12-wave panel study of Americans’ political knowledge about high-profile news over 6 months. 

Results confirm that conservatives have lower sensitivity than liberals, performing worse at distinguishing truths and falsehoods. 

This is partially explained by the fact that the most widely shared falsehoods tend to promote conservative positions, while corresponding truths typically favor liberals.

 The problem is exacerbated by liberals’ tendency to experience bigger improvements in sensitivity than conservatives as the proportion of partisan news increases. These results underscore the importance of reducing the supply of right-leaning misinformation. 


Meanwhile , The Kennedy School,Misinformation Review checked to see how well 150 of its contributors represented the American electorate, and discovered this distinctly sinister  distribution  :



Thursday, July 4, 2024

HOUTHI GREENS SEQUESTER SHIPLOAD OF COAL IN RED SEA

                 SOFT COAL CARRIER HIT by HARDLINE Houthi DRONE & MISSILE attack

JUNE 18 CENTCOM report SAYS  : "An uncrewed Houthi surface vehicle struck the Liberian-flagged, Greek-owned and operated merchant vessel Tutor in the Red Sea. The strike resulted in damage to the engine room."



Хуситы затопили судно с российским углем