Saturday, May 30, 2015


Turncoat Knight of Malta Christopher Monckton has deeply shocked the Vatican by colluding with a firebrand of heresy: 
  1. Grant Goldman began his radio & TV career at the age of 14.
    His climate science expertise includes hosting Torvill and Dean's Dancing on Ice
    photo courtesy of his websit
    to make mock of the Pope's climate encyclical:

    Religious leaders should stop bleating about global warming

    Christopher Monckton of Brenchley sends this article by Grant Goldman, a popular radio host in Sydney, Australia.
    "In Britain, North America and Australia the Church of England has declared war on coal, through... divestment programs and propaganda from the pulpit. 
    Time for some facts about coal.   The gerontologist and evolutionary biologist Caleb Finch tells us that since the early 1800s life expectancy in Europe has doubled.  The single greatest factor in the longevity revolution has been coal... 
    Coal saved from destruction the forests of Britain...
    Coal dramatically reduced pollution...
    Coal made possible modern medical science... 
    Thanks to coal, for the very first time ordinary workers who were not members of the aristocracy nor of the clergy had leisure time....women had the opportunity to learn to read... 
    Coal made possible the growth of democratic institutions and, vitally important, the abolition of slavery... and...the flowering of the Church of England.
    Thanks to coal, hymn books could be printed cheaply and thanks to coal there were trees left in the land to make the paper"

    Mr. Goldman concludes by admonishing those "purporting to lead the Church of England" to read the Parable of the Talents in Matthew 24. 

    Vatican sources are divided as to whether carbon credits earned by the abolition of slavery can be applied to a perpertual indulgences or the purchase of pagan babies in Africa

Tuesday, May 26, 2015


What  if  they  had  a  Nuclear Winter,  and  nobody  noticed ?

Taking a page from  Saddam Hussein's 1989  Kuwait Oil Fires playbook, Iran's wannabe Islamic caliphate has torched oil fields from Mosul to Tikkrit,  and set fire to the nation's largest oil refinery,  creating  soot plume large as Lebanon  and  Israel combined

But instead of turning the soot pall seen in  satellite photos into The Mother of All  Geoengineering Experiments,  solar heat absorption by the dark cloud has failed to loft it into the stratosphere. The 'solar buoyancy' mechanism on which'nuclear winter' models depend may not exist in real world meteorology, for the cloud downwind from the fires remains stuck in the troposphere, where short arerosol lifetimes and rapid rainout militate against  global transport or significant regional climate impacts. 

Nature does not always follow apocalyptic art, and as with the implosion of the 'Population Bomb' the reality  scarcely resembles the air-brushed cover of Paul Ehrlich and Carl Sagan's 1984 'Nuclear Winter' manifesto, The Cold And The Dark , which was based not on dynamic simulations but an irreducibly simple one dimensional model  that proved no more fisk-resistant  than Monckton & Soon's recent effort.
So though this sooty holocaust is still going strong, few outside Iraq have noticed. Even as the fires shade the ground in Iraq,  temperatures in South Asia  remain scorching, and thousands are dying in an Indian heat wave

Although the plume has been visible for weeks,  not a word has been heard from the luminaries who endorsed  the 'nuclear winter ' model with a view to scaring the world into disarmament.They got burned the last time  when Carl Sagan tried to amplify the impact of their  Cold War P-R campaign by telling TV audiences the Kuwait oil fires would collapse the monsoon and doom Asia  to famine. Asked by Nightline's Ted Koppel if the effects could rival the catastrophic asteroid  impact that caused the  Cretaceous-Tertiary extinction, Sagan replied:  "Precisely."

It didn't happen.  but the failure of that apocalyptic prediction has left an ironic coda:
in the decades since The Cold And The Dark  appeared, black carbon aerosols  have been recognized instead as a major source of man-made global warming.

 But  don't get your hopes up  for  Strangelovian spinmeister S. Fred Singer's "nuclear summer" hypothesis, which assumed cirrus cloud IR trapping would somehow outdo the impact of a stratospheric soot pall blotting out the sun for 40 days and 40 nights- a basic 'parameter assumption ' of  Sagan's TTAPs model  that went to that Biblically dubious extreme to elicit  a predictably apocalyptic response to the model's equally fanciful hemispheric optical  depth of e^20, as seen on the cover of The Cold And The Dark.

I realized something was seriously amiss with the normal  climate modeling paradigm when, seeking a word with the artist who painted it (One dimensional models like TTAPS do not lend themselves to computer graphics as cover art)  I was directed to the Creative Department  of Porter Novelli Inc., P-R men to the stars.

The sad paradox this end of the history of science presents is that honest climate modelers are obliged to share the cultural stage with more than Heartland Institute carnival barkers like Viscount Monckton. They still have to contend with prophets of doom who fail to deliver, some of them political reductionists  of a very low order.

Tuesday, May 19, 2015

Monday, May 18, 2015


In recognition of the prolific contributions 
of their alumni to climate blog comments &
Heartland Institute Conferences,
an illustrious constellation
of over four score 

have declared the Wegman & NIPCC Reports 
meet their highest academic standards
and instructed 
The International Applied Climateball Union  
to award Doctoral Degrees to all attending
The Heartland Special Climate Olympics

Al Arab University, 
Al Khaleej University, 
Al Khalifa American U.
Alpine University, 
American Gulf University, 
American Mideast U.
Anchor Point University, 
Arab Continental U.
Arab Women University, 
Ashbery University, 
Ashley University, 
Bakerville University, 
Barkley University, 
Baycity University, 
Bay View University, 
Baytown University, 
Belltown University, 
Branton University, 
Brooklyn Park University, 
Brooksville University, 
Cambell State University, 
Camp Lake University, 
Chapel University, 
Columbiana University, 
Creek View University, 
Crestford University, 
Fort Jones University, 
Galewood University, 
Gibson University, 
Glenford University, 
Grant Town University, 
GreenLake University, 
Grendal University, 
Hadly University, 
Hansford University, 
Harvey University, 
Headway University, 
Hill University,   
Harding University, 
Johnstown University, 
Kennedy University, 
Kingsbridge University, 
Kings Lake University, 
Laurus University, 
Madison Hills University, 
Mayfield University, 
McFord University, 
McGraw University, 
McKinley University, 
Midtown University, 
Mount Lincoln University, 
Nelson Bay University, 
Nicholson University, 
Nixon University, 
Northern Port University, 
Northway University, 
Olford Walters University, 
Panworld University, 
Paramount  University, 
Parkfield University, 
Payne Springs University, 
Pine Hill University, 
Pittsford University, 
Port Jefferson University, 
Queen City University, 
Queens Bay University, 
Ray University, 
Redding University, 
Riverwood University, 
Rochville University, 
Roseville Community U 
Thompson University, 
Wales Bridge University, 
Walford University, 
Westland University, 
Wilburton University, 
Wiley University, 
Wilford University, 
Willington University, 
Windham University, 
Woodbridge University, 
Woodfield University, 

The retromingent perpetrators of  The New York Times story linked above live in mortal fear of a writ for criminal libel from Viscount Monckton' solicitors  for though none of these institutions could be located for comment,:
 “Axact condemns this story as baseless, substandard, maligning, defamatory, and based on false accusations and merely a figment of imagination published without taking the company’s point of view.”
Kudos too, to  Axact League University alums on their outstanding Oregon Petition turnout.

Saturday, May 16, 2015



Saving Humanity from Catastrophic Global Cooling: A Task for Geo-Engineering

There are two kinds of ice ages...“Little” ice ages were discovered in ice cores; they have been occurring on an approx. 1500-yr cycle and are likely controlled by the Sun. The current cycle’s cooling phase may be imminent and calls for urgent action...

While many consider the timing issue as settled...

Most expect the next glaciation to arrive rather soon; but calculations by Prof Andre Berger of the Catholic University of Louvain, Belgium, suggest a delay of some 40,000 years -- so there may be no great urgency. Nevertheless, it would be useful and of great scientific interest to verify the existence of a hypothesized “trigger” that might be disabled by human action -- at low cost and negligible risk....
After digesting hundreds of comments about my essay on stopping the next major ice age, I recognized the need to explain the existence also of “little” ice ages, which are likely of solar origin. [see Unstoppable Global Warming: Every 1500 years, by Singer and Avery, published by Rowman&Littlefield, 2007].

We don’t know what triggers an LIA, but suspect a strong correlation with a quiet Sun and prolonged absence of sun spots.  Experts in this field – Willie Soon (Harvard Observatory) [ Heartland Institute ], Harjit Ahluwalia (University of New Mexico)[ Huh? Ahluwalia is the author of  'No direct correlation between galactic cosmic rays and earth surface temperature 
Adv. Space Res., 52, 2119-2121, 2013. ]
author , Russian astronomer Habibullo Abdussamatov, and many others -- believe that the next LIA is imminent...During much of the American Revolution, New York Harbor was frozen over.  And we recall paintings of George Washington crossing the Delaware River, impeded by ice floes.

How to overcome an LIA

....An obvious scheme to counter a cooling is to make use of greenhouse (GH) warming.  However, carbon dioxide is not the answer: CO2 is limited in supply and is already saturated ... The answer may be water, but in the form of ice crystals; the scheme is easily tested and is transitory -- reversible and incurring little risk. 
Here is how I picture the operation ... A KC-135 or similar aerial-refueling aircraft carries ~100 tons of water, which is to be injected as mist just above the tropopause...

Like contrails, I expect some visible cirrus, which should disappear rapidly, leaving behind invisible cirrus ice crystals that are strong absorbers/emitters of infrared (IR) radiation, covering also the atmospheric “window” region of 8 to 12 microns – thus creating a major GH effect and possibly even some detectable warming at the Earth’s surface... all this is based on theory and calculations, which I published in 1988...

While the science is certainly interesting and important, there is no need to delay the crucial and urgent tests of geo-engineering; they involve only minor costs and little risk to the atmospheric environment.

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