Monday, August 29, 2022

    DENIAL BLOG UPSTAGES PARIS REVIEW 

      Watts Lit Crit breakthrough  

             is title-free review of 

Jigokuenoshoutaijouwokirikizanndawake: Shingatakoronatowakuchinnikansurubunshoshu

While Amazon renders  author and former Richard Lindzen student Mototaka Nakamura's 42 syllable title as:          

Confessions of a climate scientist

WUWT 's review of the work by coal industry P-R flack Lars Schinkenau  dispenses with it entirely, referring only to:

"A short 30p book by MIT educated, Japanese climate scientist, climate modeler, and cloud specialist Dr Nakamura Mototak" (sic)      

and fails to mention that his major thesis is that climate communication is becoming as esoteric as the plot of The Matrix. 


"Climate models are NOT capable of modeling clouds. Their resolution is too low and clouds are too complex. Now it starts to make sense why future climate predictions based on climate models are so unhelpful and show far too much warming (Scafetta 2022)

A short 30p book by MIT educated, Japanese climate scientist, climate modeler, and cloud specialist Dr Nakamura Mototak explains this well (Amazon.com). Nakamura writes “gross model simplifications include:

  • Ignorance about large and small-scale ocean dynamics
  • A complete lack of meaningful representations of aerosol changes that generate clouds.
  • Lack of understanding of drivers of ice-albedo (reflectivity) feedbacks: “Without a reasonably accurate representation, it is impossible to make any meaningful predictions of climate variations and changes in the middle and high latitudes and thus the entire planet.”
  • Inability to deal with water vapor elements
  • Arbitrary “tunings” (fudges) of key parameters that are not understood”

Remember, that the modeled climate impact in 2100 is based on “average” climate models that 

(a) are fed scenarios which are far from reality,  

(b) use climate sensitivities which have proven to be too high 

(c) assume the world will not adapt

(d) dismiss CO2’s undisputed fertilization effects

(e) dismiss human’ non-GHG effects, and 

(f) cannot explain climatic changes prior to 1850 because they largely dismiss natural variability.

  • That they are not able to model clouds adds icing to the cake"