Sunday, May 19, 2024

                                    DOCTOR MIRABILIS

 


In 2017, the International Space Station took aboard an instrument to "continue monitoring the Sun’s energy input to the Earth system The Total and Spectral solar Irradiance Sensor (TSIS-1) will precisely measure what scientists call “total solar irradiance.” These data will give us a better understanding of Earth’s primary energy supply and help improve models simulating Earth’s climate.

Since sunspots are cooler than the solar surface at large, and their number and area increases asthe solar maximum approaches, TSIS-1 has ,as usual, recorded its customary  downtick in total solar irradiance as this cycle approaches its peak:

Not so, says Spanish neurologist Javier Vinos, who has published a book with a foreward by Judith Curry to prove it: There's just one problem: They don't teach astrophysics in medical school.
Dr. Vinos has been posting his self published book's content on Judy's blog - Climate, Etc.  and  Watts Up With That , which earlier showcased Oliver Manuel's theory that  the sun is primarily made of iron, not hydrogen and that Earth has a uranium core   

Yesterday,  tried pointing out the obvious disparity between what NASA's radiometer  sees and the good Doctor says :

Javier is at liberty to study his own book, but, Cave hominibus cumque liber solo

The good doctor is categorically mistaken in eliding the “solar maximum” with maximum solar irradiance, as the latter falls , not rises as sunspots cover an increasing fraction of the solar surface. 

Despite the wonderful auroral displays ( and mesospheric heating) caused by recent coronal mass ejections, the enormous dark sunspots that give rise to them are presently visible to the naked eye though an eclipse filter, because they are thousands of degrees , or tenths of an Ev cooler than their surroundings.

Here is NASA’s direct and well quantified imaging of this effect:

https://science.nasa.gov/science-research/earth-science/climate-science/four-decades-and-counting-new-nasa-instrument-continues-measuring-solar-energy-input-to-earth/

But he would have none of it:

The idea that Earth's climate is modulated by  10.7 cm  microwave radiation is nothing less than breathtaking, 

If the wavelength in question seems familiar,  it's because a huge effort has been made to map the sky's background temperature using the red shifted microwaves still echoing from the Big Bang, which Dicke and Wheeler discovered using a centimeter wave horn antenna. 

Javier Vinós | May 18, 2024 at 10:35 am |

The link goes to a figure from this paper:

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/366962728_Is_the_F_107cm_–_Sunspot_Number_relation_linear_and_stable

The relationship between sunspots and TSI depends on the TSI reconstruction used. It is different for PMOD than for ACRIM. In all cases less sunspots = less solar activity.

Russell Seitz | May 18, 2024 at 11:15 am |

Thank you for the link.

I trust you realize that, useful as 10.7 cm / 2.8 GHz gyroton radiation is as a proxy for solar magnetic activity, the solar microwave flux, which takes a radio telescope to detect, is too small to measurably modulate climate.

10.7 cm photons are almost as irrelevant to climate change as the centimeter waves in the ~2.7º K cosmic microwave background, as they too are ~2.3 trillion times less energetic than those the sun emits at its 6,000º K blackbody peak.

His responses are  rather hard to parse:

"That question falls into the category of how much CO₂ has contributed to global warming. Nobody knows."

"The objection that solar variability implies too little energy is as naive as a child asking how a finger can have enough force to lift an elevator. " 

"Global temperature decadal rate of change is just too variable to mean much."

Thus far, no comment from the author of the forward.

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