Thursday, June 29, 2017


Wondering how  Willie Soon's last paper  with the Connolly Brothers made it into print ?
Andy May's recent  post  at WUWT

My excellent adventure into the March for Science

inadvertently reveals the extent of the  data stretching  contrarians  protest while simultaneously practicing, 

Andy is a self-described 'petrophysicist'.  His bio  says he is in the honest-to-gosh business of producing not fossil fuel, but CO2  itself as:
Senior Petrophysicist at Kinder-Morgan Energy Partners
January 2013 - Present  (2 years 10 months) CO2 source field petrophysics, mainly in Colorado and Arizona
Kinder-Morgan  helps drill the carbon dioxide wells providing supercritical CO2 to enhance petroleum production in America's oil patch. But prodigeous as Andy's carbon footprint may be it has not served to inflate his climate science bibliography- he has none. His only publications are in petroleum engineering journals and conference proceedings.

Shunning more recent and disintested reviews of  temperature trends, like : Consensuses and discrepancies of basin-scale ocean heat content changes in different ocean analyses. Wang, G., Cheng, L., Abraham, J. et al. Climate  Dynamics  (2017),  Andy's blog post cites Willie's August version of Soon & Co's article in Earth-Science Reviews,150, 409-452: November 2015, Re-evaluating the role of solar variability on Northern Hemisphere temperature trends since the 19th century

But  Andy's 'preprint' take involves turning some published, but inconvenient, total solar irradiance trends  literally upside down. To  reverse  those  trends  in  re-rendering  the  original  data :  "the absolute values of the y-axes have been varied to fit."

No matter how you mirror it, solar irradiance variability has long been one of the unhottest fronts of the Climate Wars because :
1.There isn't very much -
2. The sun's overall irradience has downticked  even as global temperatures rise-

So Willie et al. tried to spice matters up by vertically stretching the irradiance numbers  during intervals of high solar variability, to  make them seem to rise  rather then fall  relative to an overall solar irradiance that remains too flat to matter,  leading readers up the down escalator in  May's mislabled WUWT post " figure 10".

The  figures in the real article, (  pardon the Elsevier copyright redaction ), end at number 8,  but the  sheer length of this Gish Gallop through the heliosphere in an unsuccessful search for Uncertainty Monsters - 43 pages makes one wonder less who Willie's patrons are these days, than whether they pay him by the word ?